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Electoral College Map: Latest Gallup Presidential Polls Results - Only Exit Polls in Swing States Will Decide 2012 Election

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By Daniel Blake , Christian Post Contributor
November 6, 2012|12:59 pm
  • voting
    (Photo: Reuters/Alex Gallard)
    Voters take advantage of the first day of early voting at the Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk's office in Norwalk, California October 25, 2012.

The Presidential Election 2012 will ultimately be decided by the Electoral College Map rather than the popular nationwide result. However, even though numerous polls in weeks leading up to Election Day had given Romney the Popular Vote and Obama the advantage on the Electoral College Vote in swing states, the latest and final Gallup poll has given a split vote between Obama and Romney on the popular vote, and the Rasmussen Reports polls have seen a similar split across various battleground states.

Gallup's final pre-election poll of "likely voters" gave President Obama a 1 percentage point lead of 49 percent to Republican candidate Mitt Romney's 48 percent. However, when Gallup adjusted the results with "undecided voters," evenly divided them between the two candidates, the lead was switched, with Romney gaining 50 percent compared to Obama's 49 percent.

The final gallup survey was conducted from Nov. 1 to Nov. 4.

Meanwhile, Rasmussen Report's final pre-election poll also gave a similarly blurred result, indicating just how close this election is likely to be.

The nationwide poll by Rasmussen showed Romney with a 1 percentage point lead over Obama, with the poll scoring it 49 percent to 48 percent to the GOP hopeful. That result remains consistent with the Rasmussen Reports poll published on Monday.

However, the same poll also indicated things were just as close across some of the key swing states of Ohio, Virginia and New Hampshire. Obama had the slight lead in one state, Romney had the edge in another, and the candidates were tied in the third.

In the key swing state of Ohio, both candidates were registered as tied on 49 percent each, according to Rasmussen Reports. In Virginia, Romney leads 50 percent compared to Obama's 48 percent. In New Hampshire, Obama leads 50 percent compared to Romney's 48 percent.

The Rasmussen poll also showed that most people believe Romney will lead the economic situation better than the president, with 50 percent compared to 47 percent backing Romney on the economy - widely recognized to be the most important issue to voters in the election.

However, despite that most are predicting that Obama will be re-elected. Fifty-two percent have said that they believe Obama will be re-elected for a second term, where as only 38 percent believe Romney will get into the White House.

The latest barrage of polls indicates that with election day upon the United States, both the Popular Vote as well as the Electoral College Map are too close to call.

But intriguingly, Rasmussen's final Electoral College Map projections showed 237 Electoral College Votes are expected to be all-but-confirmed for the president, where as Romney only had 206 almost-certain Electoral College Votes. That means Romney would need to claim a majority of the key swing states to reach the 270 Electoral College Votes needed to enter the White House.

 

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