3 takeaways from the midterm exit polls

1. Evangelicals hold steady for GOP, other Christian groups move left

In 2026, 82% of white born-again or Evangelical Christians supported Republicans, a figure that did not budge from 2024 exit polling, when Trump carried the same percentage among the demographic.

However, white born-again or Evangelicals made up a much smaller share of the electorate (17%) than in 2024 (23%).

Among Protestants as a whole, 59% supported Republican candidates in 2026, compared to the 63% Trump received from Protestants and other Christians in 2024. The two groups were combined in 2024 but placed in separate categories in 2026.

Support for Republican candidates among other Christians in 2026 was 60%. Protestants and other Christians made up 38% of the electorate in 2026, compared to 43% in 2024.

While a solid majority of Catholics (59%) supported Trump in 2024, Catholics were nearly evenly split between Democrats and Republicans in 2026. Fifty percent backed Democrats this year, while 49% supported Republicans. Catholics made up 20% of the electorate this year, compared to 21% two years ago.

Voters who fall into the religious “none” category made up 27% of the electorate in 2026, up from 24% in 2024. The “nones” overwhelmingly backed Democrats in both elections but moved further left this year. Seventy-eight percent supported Democrats, up from 71% in 2024.

Every religious group included in the exit polls in both years either held steady or embraced Democrats at a higher rate in 2026, with one noticeable exception: Jewish voters. They made up a larger share of the electorate in 2026 (3%) than in 2024 (2%), and a larger share backed Republicans (31%) than supported Trump in 2024 (20%).