Who is leading the Democrat race to challenge Trump?

By Michael Gryboski, Editor
Tuesday, March 19, 2019

Important first races

Potential caucus voters cast shadows on an Iowa state flag at a campaign rally for Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney in Clive, Iowa January 2, 2012. The Iowa caucus will be held on January 3. | (Photo: REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

Not only does former Vice President Joe Biden lead the overall RCP average polling on the Democratic Party nomination, he also leads in all three first key state races, according to polling analyses accessed Tuesday morning.

In Iowa, the first state caucus, Biden leads in the RCP average with 28 percent, followed by Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont at 20 percent, Senator Kamala Harris of California at 12.5 percent, Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts at 10 percent, and former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke at 5.5 percent.

In New Hampshire, which is the first official primary, Biden holds a slim lead (25 percent) over Sanders (24.3). Behind them are Harris with 12 percent, Warren with 8.3 percent, and O’Rourke with 5.3 percent.

In South Carolina, which is the first-in-the-South primary, Biden has a commanding lead with 37 percent, followed by Sanders at 21 percent, Harris at 9 percent, Booker at 6 percent, and Warren at 5 percent.